Interdecadal variability of tropical cyclone landfall in the Philippines from 1902 to 2005
نویسندگان
چکیده
[1] A dataset of tropical cyclone landfall numbers in the Philippines (TLP) is created from a combination of historical observation records of the Monthly Bulletins of Philippine Weather Bureau and Joint Warning Typhoon Center best-track data for the period of 1902 to 2005. Interdecadal variability of TLP is found to be related to different phases of the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). The annual TLP has an apparent oscillation of about 32 years before 1939 and an oscillation of about 10–22 years after 1945. No long-term trend is found. During the lowPDOphase, the annual TLP decreases (increases) significantly in El Niño (La Niña) years. During high PDO phase, however, the difference in annual TLP between different ENSO phases becomes unclear. These results suggest that natural variability related to ENSO and PDO phases appears to prevail in the interdecadal variability of TLP. Citation: Kubota, H., and J. C. L. Chan (2009), Interdecadal variability of tropical cyclone landfall in the Philippines from 1902 to 2005,Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L12802, doi:10.1029/2009GL038108.
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